Copa Libertadores Grupo E. Jor. 1

Zamora FC vs Nacional analysis

Zamora FC Nacional
72 ELO 78
0.8% Tilt -1.8%
1753º General ELO ranking 280º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.8%
Zamora FC
26.1%
Draw
34.1%
Nacional

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
Zamora FC
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.2%
Win probability
Nacional
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zamora FC
-23%
+12%
Nacional

ELO progression

Zamora FC
Nacional
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zamora FC
Zamora FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2019
ANZ
Dep. Anzoátegui
0 - 0
Zamora FC
ZAM
16%
25%
58%
73 58 15 0
24 Feb. 2019
ZAM
Zamora FC
3 - 0
Mineros de Guayana
MIN
43%
27%
30%
72 74 2 +1
18 Feb. 2019
MON
Monagas
2 - 0
Zamora FC
ZAM
38%
26%
35%
73 68 5 -1
09 Feb. 2019
ZAM
Zamora FC
1 - 0
Estudiantes de Mérida
EST
60%
23%
17%
73 65 8 0
02 Feb. 2019
CFC
Caracas
3 - 0
Zamora FC
ZAM
31%
27%
41%
73 67 6 0

Matches

Nacional
Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2019
RAC
Racing Montevideo
1 - 1
Nacional
NAC
27%
27%
46%
78 66 12 0
27 Feb. 2019
NAC
Nacional
1 - 4
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
55%
24%
21%
79 71 8 -1
21 Feb. 2019
SES
Seattle Sounders
0 - 2
Nacional
NAC
49%
25%
26%
79 79 0 0
16 Feb. 2019
LFC
Liverpool Montevideo
1 - 1
Nacional
NAC
36%
26%
38%
79 69 10 0
04 Feb. 2019
PEÑ
Peñarol
1 - 1
Nacional
NAC
54%
23%
23%
79 82 3 0
X