Zadar vs Lokomotiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
68.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ZAD
1 - 3
ZAG
26%
27%
46%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
NKV
2 - 2
ZAD
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ZAD
2 - 0
KUS
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ZAD
1 - 3
HKS
8%
14%
79%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ZAD
1 - 0
HAJ
32%
26%
43%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
RUD
0 - 4
LOK
24%
26%
51%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LOK
2 - 0
HKS
30%
25%
46%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ALU
0 - 2
LOK
25%
23%
52%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
INT
2 - 1
LOK
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
HNG
0 - 3
LOK
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +2 |