Yuen Long Reserve vs Southern District Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
34.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yuen Long Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
YLO
2 - 0
ESA
38%
20%
42%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
HKS
2 - 2
YLO
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
YLO
3 - 1
WTP
11%
14%
75%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +4 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
DRE
4 - 3
YLO
87%
9%
5%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
KIT
0 - 0
YLO
91%
6%
3%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Southern District Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 0
GUA
79%
13%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
KIT
1 - 3
SOU
77%
13%
10%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
WTP
0 - 0
SOU
71%
16%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 1
PEG
31%
20%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 0
HKS
30%
21%
49%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |