Ypiranga FC vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SLU
0 - 3
YPI
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
YPI
1 - 0
PAY
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
LON
1 - 1
YPI
49%
27%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
YPI
2 - 1
REM
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
REM
2 - 1
YPI
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
PEL
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAX
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
GRE
4 - 3
NOV
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 87 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
GRE
13%
24%
63%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
ECS
0 - 1
NOV
58%
25%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |