Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
5º
1º
35
6º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Africans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
TPM
0 - 1
YOU
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
YOU
2 - 0
USM
31%
26%
44%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
YOU
3 - 1
GGF
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
YOU
2 - 0
ASR
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ASR
1 - 1
YOU
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
KMC
2 - 0
KAG
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
RUV
0 - 1
KAG
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KAG
1 - 0
NAM
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
POL
0 - 0
KAG
29%
30%
40%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
KAG
0 - 0
COA
45%
29%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |