York City vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
YOR
2 - 0
WHI
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
YOR
0 - 1
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 2
YOR
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
YOR
3 - 0
HEB
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
YOR
4 - 2
FAR
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 2
SPE
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SPE
0 - 0
SOU
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
CHO
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 2
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |