York City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
52.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
SEL
0 - 4
YOR
5%
12%
83%
|
47 | 11 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MAC
4 - 0
YOR
29%
25%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 0
YOR
18%
22%
60%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
YOR
1 - 4
BRA
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
YOR
2 - 3
MID
9%
18%
73%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
NOT
2 - 2
NTT
15%
24%
61%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BOS
1 - 1
NOT
25%
22%
53%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CAM
4 - 3
NOT
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 2
NOT
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 2
NOT
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 87 | 34 | 0 |