National League Playoff . Semi-finals
Global 2-0
York City vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
STE
1 - 0
YOR
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
YOR
1 - 1
GRA
70%
20%
11%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
YOR
3 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
EAS
3 - 1
YOR
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
YOR
5 - 0
AFC
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
RUS
1 - 1
LUT
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LUT
0 - 0
ALT
74%
17%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
LUT
6 - 3
HIS
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
TAM
1 - 1
LUT
27%
28%
46%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
LUT
6 - 0
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |