York City vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 1
YOR
26%
25%
50%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
YOR
2 - 1
FYL
25%
27%
48%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 2
YOR
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
YOR
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
YOR
1 - 1
GLO
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 0
CHO
45%
26%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 2
GAT
22%
25%
54%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
GLO
1 - 1
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 0
AFC
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CUR
1 - 0
CHO
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |