York City vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 1
YOR
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
YOR
1 - 2
EXE
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
YOR
3 - 0
BUR
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
FLE
0 - 0
YOR
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
3 - 0
YOR
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
2 - 0
STA
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
3 - 1
ROT
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
ALD
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
ALD
2 - 2
BRO
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 0
ALD
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |