Yate Town vs Melksham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
YAT
2 - 0
BID
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BEM
0 - 5
YAT
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HUN
1 - 0
YAT
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KID
0 - 4
YAT
37%
25%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
YAT
2 - 2
TIV
26%
22%
52%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Melksham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 2
MEL
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 0
BIS
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 3
MEL
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 1
BAN
22%
22%
56%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HEA
1 - 1
MEL
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |