Yarmouk vs Al Arabi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
41.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
6º
7º
7º
6
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 9 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 6 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
3º
|
6 | 6 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 6 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 4 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 4 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
7º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
ELO progression
ALA
YAR
ALJ
ALS
ALS
ALT
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yarmouk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO YAR | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2005 |
ALQ
3 - 0
YAR
47%
27%
26%
|
512 | 528 | 16 | -4 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
ALK
6 - 1
YAR
47%
27%
26%
|
517 | 534 | 17 | -5 |
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
ALK
2 - 0
YAR
47%
27%
26%
|
521 | 525 | 4 | -4 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
KAZ
2 - 3
YAR
45%
27%
28%
|
518 | 513 | -5 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ALA
2 - 1
YAR
45%
27%
28%
|
520 | 505 | -15 | -2 |
Matches
Al Arabi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO ALA | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2005 |
ALK
2 - 0
ALA
47%
27%
26%
|
518 | 539 | 21 | -4 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
ALQ
0 - 2
ALA
47%
27%
26%
|
514 | 532 | 18 | +4 |
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
ALA
3 - 1
AFH
47%
27%
26%
|
510 | 494 | 16 | +4 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALS
47%
27%
26%
|
508 | 494 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ALA
2 - 1
YAR
45%
27%
28%
|
505 | 520 | -15 | +2 |