Yanbian Longding vs Jiangxi Lushan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
12º
8º
24
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yanbian Longding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
YAN
2 - 2
WWF
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HKF
3 - 2
YAN
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
YAN
0 - 0
DTF
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
YAN
2 - 2
SDO
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
YAN
2 - 2
QYI
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 2
DUF
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SJF
2 - 0
JIA
66%
22%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ANH
1 - 2
JIA
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
QYI
1 - 0
JIA
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
JIA
0 - 2
GFC
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |