Yagüe vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VIA
3 - 3
YAG
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
4 - 1
YAG
29%
22%
50%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
YAG
0 - 1
HAR
13%
18%
69%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SDL
3 - 0
YAG
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
YAG
3 - 3
VAR
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
RIV
15%
20%
65%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
HAR
4 - 0
VIL
93%
6%
2%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 8
SDL
5%
11%
84%
|
14 | 47 | 33 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
VIL
93%
6%
2%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 6
UDL
12%
19%
69%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | -1 |