Yagüe vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
67.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
9º
16º
15º
67
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
94% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
2.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
71.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDC
3 - 0
YAG
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
YAG
1 - 2
COM
40%
23%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
OYO
1 - 0
YAG
56%
23%
21%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
YAG
0 - 0
VIA
55%
21%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
3 - 2
YAG
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
NAX
0 - 1
HAR
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CDF
0 - 3
NAX
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NAX
1 - 0
BER
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 2
NAX
12%
19%
69%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NAX
2 - 0
RRF
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |