XV de Piracicaba vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
LIN
3 - 1
XVD
19%
24%
57%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
COM
0 - 0
XVD
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
XVD
3 - 0
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
XVD
2 - 0
LIN
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
BER
0 - 0
XVD
23%
25%
53%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
BER
2 - 0
COM
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 3
BER
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
BER
5 - 2
LIN
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
COM
0 - 0
BER
57%
25%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
BER
0 - 0
XVD
23%
25%
53%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |