Xilvar vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
46.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+122%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xilvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SER
2 - 1
XIL
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
XIL
0 - 0
UDA
27%
22%
52%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 1
XIL
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
XIL
1 - 2
CAR
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PON
3 - 2
XIL
24%
20%
56%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
STA
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
SER
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UDA
1 - 2
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
CDS
39%
25%
37%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 0
ATL
70%
19%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |