Xerxes vs Hoek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerxes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LRC
0 - 8
XER
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 29 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
XER
4 - 0
SCH
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HEE
2 - 3
XER
20%
24%
57%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
KOZ
1 - 0
XER
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
XER
1 - 4
RVV
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | -2 |
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HOE
1 - 3
RVV
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
KLO
1 - 0
HOE
23%
24%
54%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HOE
1 - 0
NIV
66%
20%
15%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 3
HOE
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HOE
0 - 1
ASW
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |