Xerez CD vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
UES
1 - 1
XER
50%
28%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
XER
0 - 0
TER
66%
22%
13%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
CCF
1 - 3
XER
52%
28%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
XER
0 - 0
ELD
79%
15%
7%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
SEV
1 - 3
XER
84%
11%
5%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
RJA
0 - 0
SFE
75%
18%
7%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
POR
2 - 0
RJA
34%
34%
32%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
RJA
4 - 0
GIR
72%
19%
10%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1979 |
SEV
3 - 1
RJA
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
RJA
0 - 2
LIN
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |