Xerez CD vs Ayamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
15º
10º
30
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SEV
0 - 1
XER
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
XER
2 - 1
COR
71%
19%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDG
1 - 1
XER
45%
24%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
XER
0 - 0
POZ
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
XER
0 - 2
MOR
52%
26%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AYA
1 - 2
CRD
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CDA
2 - 1
AYA
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AYA
0 - 0
ESP
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
AYA
55%
23%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AYA
2 - 0
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |