Tercera División RFEF X - Andalusia and Ceuta Round 30

Xerez Deportivo vs Cabecense analysis

Xerez Deportivo Cabecense
46 ELO 23
-19.4% Tilt -21%
4938º General ELO ranking 11155º
167º Country ELO ranking 1129º
ELO win probability
78.9%
Xerez Deportivo
15.1%
Draw
6%
Cabecense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
Xerez Deportivo
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6%
Win probability
Cabecense
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Xerez Deportivo
-10%
-5%
Cabecense

Points and table prediction

Xerez Deportivo
Their league position
Cabecense
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
15º
28
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Xerez CD
67
67
100%
Ciudad de Lucena
66
66
100%
Xerez Deportivo
64
64
100%
CD Pozoblanco
62
62
100%
AD Ceuta FC B
56
57
100%
Salerm Puente Genil
54
54
100%
CD Inter Sevilla
46
47
65%
Utrera
46
46
65%
AD Cartaya
45
45
100%
La Palma CF
10º
41
41
10º
100%
Bollullos CF
11º
38
38
11º
100%
Córdoba CF B
13º
37
37
12º
0%
Atlético Espeleño
14º
37
37
13º
0%
Conil
12º
37
37
14º
0%
Coria CF
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Sevilla C
16º
35
35
16º
100%
Ayamonte
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Cabecense
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Xerez Deportivo
Cabecense
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Xerez Deportivo
Cabecense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Xerez Deportivo
Xerez Deportivo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2024
CAC
AD Ceuta FC B
1 - 2
Xerez Deportivo
XER
31%
29%
41%
45 38 7 0
07 Apr. 2024
XER
Xerez Deportivo
1 - 1
Xerez CD
XER
46%
27%
27%
45 42 3 0
31 Mar. 2024
CRD
Córdoba CF B
0 - 2
Xerez Deportivo
XER
32%
28%
40%
44 36 8 +1
24 Mar. 2024
XER
Xerez Deportivo
3 - 0
Atlético Espeleño
ESP
66%
20%
14%
44 30 14 0
10 Mar. 2024
CIS
CD Inter Sevilla
0 - 1
Xerez Deportivo
XER
30%
25%
45%
43 33 10 +1

Matches

Cabecense
Cabecense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2024
CAB
Cabecense
1 - 1
Bollullos CF
BOL
41%
25%
34%
24 27 3 0
07 Apr. 2024
CDA
Salerm Puente Genil
3 - 0
Cabecense
CAB
78%
14%
8%
24 35 11 0
28 Mar. 2024
CAB
Cabecense
1 - 0
CD Pozoblanco
POZ
14%
20%
66%
21 39 18 +3
23 Mar. 2024
UTR
Utrera
2 - 3
Cabecense
CAB
82%
13%
6%
20 34 14 +1
10 Mar. 2024
CAB
Cabecense
1 - 4
Conil
CON
25%
24%
50%
21 29 8 -1