Wulfrath vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wulfrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 0
WUL
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
WUL
0 - 3
BOS
25%
23%
52%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
KFC
5 - 0
WUL
87%
10%
4%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
WUL
0 - 1
SWE
12%
19%
69%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RWO
1 - 0
WUL
79%
14%
8%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
VFB
4 - 1
KFI
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DUS
3 - 1
VFB
72%
18%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VFB
1 - 1
WUP
25%
25%
50%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SFB
3 - 1
VFB
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VFB
1 - 0
JDH
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |