Hertha Wels vs Kalsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
4º
3º
23
11º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha Wels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 0
HER
83%
12%
6%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 2
HER
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
LJU
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WAC
0 - 2
HER
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 3
WEI
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Kalsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 1
BRU
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SVW
2 - 1
KAL
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 1
MET
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
KAP
1 - 0
KAL
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SVF
0 - 1
KAL
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |