Manitoba vs Thunder Bay Chill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
75.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2016 |
CHI
5 - 0
WSA
88%
9%
3%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2016 |
KOK
4 - 0
WSA
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
STL
4 - 0
WSA
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
THU
4 - 0
WSA
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 54 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
THU
5 - 1
WSA
86%
11%
4%
|
17 | 54 | 37 | -1 |
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
MIC
3 - 2
THU
65%
19%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
THU
4 - 0
WSA
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 16 | 38 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
THU
5 - 1
WSA
86%
11%
4%
|
54 | 17 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
THU
3 - 1
CHI
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 2
THU
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |