Manitoba vs Thunder Bay Chill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
66.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
KCB
2 - 0
WSA
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
KCB
1 - 0
WSA
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
SPR
1 - 1
WSA
57%
22%
22%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
SPR
2 - 1
WSA
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
WSA
2 - 2
DES
12%
18%
70%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
THU
3 - 0
STL
78%
15%
8%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
THU
3 - 0
STL
78%
15%
8%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
REA
0 - 3
THU
30%
25%
44%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
REA
2 - 1
THU
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
THU
1 - 0
WSA
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 23 | 34 | 0 |