Wrexham AFC vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 4
LIN
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
STO
2 - 3
WRE
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 1
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NUN
0 - 0
WRE
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
WRE
3 - 0
BAR
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ALF
1 - 1
AFC
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
EBB
0 - 0
ALF
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 2
GRI
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 2
ALF
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ALF
1 - 1
BRA
57%
22%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |