Wotton vs BDF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
12º
6º
10
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 56 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 46 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 45 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 43 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 38 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 31 |
8º
|
67% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 23 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 7 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 37% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 63% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wotton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
ELL
1 - 3
WOT
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
WOT
1 - 0
WEY
50%
20%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
WOT
3 - 3
SAL
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
WOT
6 - 2
DEA
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 1
WOT
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
BDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
BDF
2 - 1
EMP
36%
21%
43%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 0
BDF
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
BDF
1 - 4
SSA
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
BDF
2 - 4
PAR
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
ELL
2 - 1
BDF
47%
21%
33%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |