Worthing vs Tonbridge Angels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 1
WOR
29%
23%
49%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LOW
0 - 4
WOR
42%
24%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
WOR
5 - 3
STA
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
DAG
1 - 2
WOR
66%
21%
13%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 2
BIL
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
TON
2 - 2
FOL
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 0
TON
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
DUL
1 - 2
TON
62%
20%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
TON
3 - 0
CAN
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TON
1 - 2
STA
69%
18%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |