Worthing vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 2
WOR
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
WOR
2 - 0
TON
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
HAR
3 - 2
WOR
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
WOR
2 - 2
HAR
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 1
LEI
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
TOO
4 - 1
THU
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
THU
2 - 4
WIN
40%
24%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
LEA
0 - 2
THU
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
HEN
4 - 1
THU
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
THU
4 - 2
BUR
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |