Worthing vs South Park FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 2
WOR
12%
18%
70%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 4
HOR
42%
23%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 2
STN
33%
25%
43%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
WHI
2 - 4
WOR
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
STN
1 - 1
WOR
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
South Park FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
PEA
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 0
WHI
70%
17%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 1
WHY
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 4
SOU
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
PEA
1 - 0
SOU
40%
22%
38%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |