Worthing vs Metropolitan Police analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
52.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TOO
4 - 3
WOR
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 1
LEA
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 2
DUL
13%
21%
66%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 2
KIN
34%
24%
43%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 0
WOR
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
MET
2 - 0
WIN
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MET
3 - 1
FOL
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
MET
4 - 1
DOR
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MER
0 - 0
MET
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
HEY
1 - 1
MET
45%
23%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |