Worthing vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
WOR
4 - 1
HOR
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
WOR
3 - 1
WHI
52%
22%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MER
2 - 2
WOR
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 4
SOU
69%
16%
14%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 0
SIT
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
MER
5 - 2
WAL
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
EAS
2 - 3
MER
15%
19%
66%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MER
2 - 2
WOR
65%
19%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 0
MER
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
WHI
2 - 1
MER
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |