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Friendly. Matchday 25

Worthing vs Lewes analysis

Worthing Lewes
51 ELO 16
217% Tilt 213%
1004º General ELO ranking 3751º
118º Country ELO ranking 608º
ELO win probability
80.9%
Worthing
8%
Draw
11.1%
Lewes

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
Worthing
6.11
Expected goals
12-0
0.1%
13-1
0.1%
14-2
0.1%
15-3
<0%
+12
0.2%
11-0
0.1%
12-1
0.2%
13-2
0.1%
14-3
0.1%
15-4
<0%
+11
0.5%
10-0
0.2%
11-1
0.4%
12-2
0.3%
13-3
0.1%
14-4
<0%
15-5
<0%
+10
1.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.7%
11-2
0.6%
12-3
0.3%
13-4
0.1%
14-5
<0%
+9
2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
1.1%
10-2
1%
11-3
0.6%
12-4
0.2%
13-5
0.1%
14-6
<0%
+8
3.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
1.6%
9-2
1.6%
10-3
1%
11-4
0.4%
12-5
0.1%
13-6
<0%
+7
5.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
2.4%
9-3
1.6%
10-4
0.7%
11-5
0.2%
12-6
0.1%
13-7
<0%
+6
8%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
3.1%
8-3
2.4%
9-4
1.2%
10-5
0.4%
11-6
0.1%
12-7
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
3.6%
7-3
3.1%
8-4
1.8%
9-5
0.7%
10-6
0.2%
11-7
0.1%
12-8
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
3.5%
6-3
3.6%
7-4
2.4%
8-5
1.1%
9-6
0.4%
10-7
0.1%
11-8
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
3.5%
6-4
2.7%
7-5
1.4%
8-6
0.5%
9-7
0.2%
10-8
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
0.1%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
2.9%
5-4
2.6%
6-5
1.6%
7-6
0.7%
8-7
0.2%
9-8
0.1%
10-9
<0%
+1
10.7%
8%
Draw
0-0
<0%
1-1
0.2%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
2.2%
5-5
1.6%
6-6
0.8%
7-7
0.3%
8-8
0.1%
9-9
<0%
0
8%
11.1%
Win probability
Lewes
3
Expected goals
0-1
0%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
1.3%
5-6
0.8%
6-7
0.3%
7-8
0.1%
8-9
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.7%
5-7
0.3%
6-8
0.1%
7-9
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.3%
5-8
0.1%
6-9
0%
7-10
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0.1%
5-9
0%
6-10
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
5-10
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
3-9
0%
4-10
0%
-6
0.1%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
<0%