Worthing vs Leiston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
41.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
THA
1 - 0
WOR
30%
20%
50%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
WOR
3 - 1
DOR
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
NEE
0 - 2
WOR
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
WOR
3 - 0
LOW
32%
23%
46%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +4 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 2
HEN
15%
18%
67%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
DOR
4 - 1
LEI
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 0
LEI
37%
23%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BUR
2 - 1
LEI
29%
23%
49%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 1
LEI
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 1
FOL
47%
23%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |