Worthing vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MER
0 - 2
WOR
11%
18%
71%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
WOR
6 - 0
WIN
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
WOR
18%
22%
61%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
3 - 1
FOL
57%
21%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 1
HOR
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
HOR
4 - 0
KIN
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
KIN
1 - 1
COR
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
KIN
1 - 2
POT
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MER
0 - 0
KIN
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 3
KIN
31%
23%
47%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |