Worthing vs Horsham YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2010 |
WAL
3 - 1
WOR
12%
20%
68%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
WOR
1 - 2
LEA
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
WOR
1 - 2
GOD
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
WOR
1 - 0
FLE
45%
24%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
ATK
1 - 3
WOR
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 4
BUR
36%
25%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
MET
3 - 1
HOR
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
HOR
4 - 0
WHY
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BUR
4 - 0
HOR
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
DUL
2 - 2
HOR
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |