Worthing vs Carshalton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
36.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
KIN
2 - 3
WOR
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
MER
1 - 0
WOR
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
WOR
0 - 3
ENF
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 2
WOR
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
LEA
2 - 1
WOR
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Carshalton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 3
BAR
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
WHI
2 - 2
CAR
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
HOR
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
MER
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 1
SAL
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +3 |