Worthing vs Bognor Regis Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 2
WOR
44%
23%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
WOR
4 - 1
BOW
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FOL
3 - 1
WOR
31%
24%
46%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
WOR
5 - 1
WEL
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
WOR
6 - 1
THR
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BOG
1 - 2
HAR
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
EAS
2 - 2
BOG
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BOG
0 - 0
BIS
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
BOG
3 - 0
CHI
67%
17%
16%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BOG
1 - 3
DOR
26%
23%
52%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |