Worthing vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 2
WOR
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 2
WOR
17%
19%
63%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WOR
3 - 3
CRA
82%
12%
7%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 1
WOR
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 0
RAM
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 2
WOR
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LEA
1 - 0
BAS
65%
20%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
STO
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ARL
0 - 2
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 0
CHI
37%
27%
36%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |