Non League Premier Norte round 19

Worksop Town vs Marine analysis

Worksop Town Marine
53 ELO 48
22% Tilt 16.5%
4231º General ELO ranking 4762º
140º Country ELO ranking 173º
ELO win probability
70.8%
Worksop Town
17.5%
Draw
11.7%
Marine

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
Worksop Town
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.7%
Win probability
Marine
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Worksop Town
+17%
-37%
Marine

Points and table prediction

Worksop Town
Their league position
Marine
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
20º
79
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Radcliffe Borough
90
93
100%
Macclesfield Town
80
83
82%
Marine
79
82
72.5%
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
75
79
80%
Worksop Town
73
76
89.5%
Hyde
70
71
90%
Ashton United
70
70
98.5%
Ilkeston Town FC
66
66
60%
Gainsborough Trinity
63
66
52%
Lancaster City
11º
62
65
10º
24%
Whitby Town
10º
62
63
11º
45.5%
Guiseley
12º
61
62
12º
70.5%
Morpeth Town
13º
56
56
13º
88.5%
Matlock Town
14º
53
53
14º
20%
United of Manchester
15º
52
53
15º
27.5%
Bamber Bridge
16º
47
48
16º
48.5%
Marske United
22º
24
48
17º
20%
Workington
17º
44
44
18º
71.5%
Basford United
18º
37
38
19º
85%
Bradford Park Avenue
19º
33
33
20º
70.5%
Stafford Rangers
20º
30
31
21º
71%
Atherton Collieries
21º
25
25
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Worksop Town
Marine
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
91.5% 100%
Mid-table
8.5% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Worksop Town
Marine
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Worksop Town
Worksop Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2023
RYL
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
2 - 1
Worksop Town
WOR
25%
24%
51%
54 48 6 0
14 Nov. 2023
WOR
Worksop Town
5 - 0
Stafford Rangers
RFC
81%
13%
6%
53 41 12 +1
11 Nov. 2023
WOR
Worksop Town
4 - 1
Atherton Collieries
ATH
91%
7%
2%
53 27 26 0
07 Nov. 2023
WOR
Worksop Town
7 - 0
Morpeth Town
MOR
68%
18%
14%
52 44 8 +1
04 Nov. 2023
STO
Stockport County
5 - 1
Worksop Town
WOR
74%
17%
9%
52 74 22 0

Matches

Marine
Marine
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2023
MAR
Marine
1 - 1
Ashton United
ASH
55%
23%
23%
47 44 3 0
04 Nov. 2023
MAR
Marine
1 - 5
Harrogate Town
TOW
22%
22%
57%
48 56 8 -1
28 Oct. 2023
STI
St Ives Town
3 - 1
Marine
MAR
15%
21%
64%
50 34 16 -2
24 Oct. 2023
GUI
Guiseley
4 - 2
Marine
MAR
26%
26%
47%
51 43 8 -1
21 Oct. 2023
MAR
Marine
2 - 1
Lancaster City
LAN
61%
21%
18%
50 44 6 +1