Workington vs Trafford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
LEE
0 - 0
WOR
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
WOR
0 - 1
WID
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 0
MOS
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
RUN
1 - 2
WOR
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
4 - 0
NEW
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Trafford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 1
KID
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 1
MOS
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
RYL
4 - 1
TRA
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 2
MAR
26%
26%
47%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 0
RUN
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |