Workington vs Shildon AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
FRI
2 - 2
WOR
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HAL
3 - 2
WOR
22%
25%
53%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
WOR
3 - 0
WAR
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
WOR
0 - 2
BLY
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SUT
1 - 1
WOR
20%
24%
55%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Shildon AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
WAS
2 - 5
SHI
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SHI
2 - 0
KEN
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SHI
6 - 1
BED
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
SHI
5 - 0
DUR
35%
22%
44%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
SHI
2 - 4
BIS
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |