Workington vs Mossley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
RUN
1 - 2
WOR
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
4 - 0
NEW
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
CIT
0 - 2
WOR
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
187
2 - 4
WOR
16%
19%
65%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
5 - 1
GLO
82%
13%
5%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MOS
3 - 3
KID
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CLI
3 - 2
MOS
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
MOS
73%
16%
12%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 5 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
RYL
2 - 1
MOS
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |