Workington vs Mossley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
WOR
3 - 1
BRI
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
WOR
4 - 1
CLI
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
KEN
0 - 6
WOR
13%
19%
68%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
DRO
0 - 4
WOR
17%
21%
63%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
WOR
2 - 0
OUF
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CLI
1 - 3
MOS
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 1
MOS
50%
20%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
MOS
1 - 0
MAR
26%
23%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
WID
0 - 0
MOS
19%
18%
63%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
MOS
2 - 0
MAR
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |