Workington vs Marine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HAL
1 - 5
WOR
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
ASH
0 - 1
WOR
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 1
MAT
52%
24%
25%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
SLA
3 - 2
WOR
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 0
HED
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
GRA
37%
24%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
FAR
40%
23%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
WHI
3 - 2
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 4
ASH
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 2
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |