Workington vs Hinckley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
ALF
1 - 3
WOR
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
GAI
0 - 0
WOR
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2006 |
WOR
0 - 0
BAR
55%
23%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
TOW
1 - 1
WOR
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
WOR
5 - 2
NOR
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
HIN
1 - 3
TOW
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
ALF
1 - 1
HIN
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
HIN
1 - 0
GAI
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2006 |
RED
1 - 1
HIN
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
HIN
1 - 1
STA
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |