Workington vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
STO
5 - 0
WOR
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
WOR
3 - 0
SPE
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ILK
0 - 2
WOR
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 0
COR
77%
16%
8%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
WOR
4 - 0
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
HED
1 - 2
COA
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 0
HED
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
RFC
2 - 1
HED
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
HED
1 - 1
RFC
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
HED
1 - 0
GRA
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |