Workington vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
BAM
0 - 2
WOR
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WOR
1 - 1
WIT
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
BIS
0 - 2
WOR
19%
23%
58%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 2
WOR
15%
21%
63%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
WOR
1 - 0
BLY
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
SPE
2 - 2
GAT
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
GAT
1 - 0
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
WHI
3 - 2
GAT
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
GAT
0 - 1
RAD
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
GAT
1 - 1
BIS
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |