Friendly . Jor. 17

Workington vs Carlisle United analysis

Workington Carlisle United
36 ELO 54
-0.7% Tilt -2.7%
5610º General ELO ranking 2732º
270º Country ELO ranking 96º
ELO win probability
16.7%
Workington
21.1%
Draw
62.2%
Carlisle United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
Workington
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.2%
Win probability
Carlisle United
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Workington
Carlisle United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Workington
Workington
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jul. 2021
WOR
Workington
1 - 5
Morecambe
MOR
10%
18%
72%
37 61 24 0
10 Jul. 2021
BER
Berwick Rangers
2 - 0
Workington
WOR
26%
23%
51%
37 24 13 0
19 Dec. 2020
BRI
Brighouse Town
2 - 2
Workington
WOR
22%
22%
56%
37 25 12 0
08 Dec. 2020
NAN
Nantwich Town
3 - 1
Workington
WOR
43%
24%
33%
39 39 0 -2
31 Oct. 2020
GLO
Glossop
0 - 1
Workington
WOR
14%
19%
67%
40 18 22 -1

Matches

Carlisle United
Carlisle United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jul. 2021
PEN
Penrith AFC
0 - 8
Carlisle United
CUM
8%
14%
78%
54 16 38 0
08 May. 2021
CUM
Carlisle United
0 - 0
Walsall
WAL
57%
23%
20%
54 51 3 0
01 May. 2021
LEY
Leyton Orient
2 - 3
Carlisle United
CUM
45%
26%
29%
54 54 0 0
27 Apr. 2021
CHE
Cheltenham Town
1 - 1
Carlisle United
CUM
65%
21%
14%
53 63 10 +1
24 Apr. 2021
CUM
Carlisle United
1 - 1
Harrogate Town
TOW
52%
23%
24%
54 51 3 -1
X