Wörgl vs Mils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
FUG
4 - 2
WOR
78%
14%
9%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
WOR
2 - 2
KUN
52%
21%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
WOR
0 - 3
STJ
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
IAC
4 - 1
WOR
63%
20%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
WOR
1 - 5
WAT
9%
14%
77%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
SCM
0 - 10
WAT
6%
12%
82%
|
31 | 80 | 49 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
SCM
3 - 2
WAT
5%
11%
84%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
TEL
2 - 4
SCM
84%
10%
6%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
SCM
0 - 2
WIN
4%
12%
84%
|
28 | 75 | 47 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FCV
1 - 2
SCM
73%
16%
12%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +2 |